Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.017570 3.571967 4.228115 5.069918 6.132751 7.445669 9.214887e+00
2024-10-20 2.266716 2.958644 3.888408 5.263204 7.305484 10.332904 1.537797e+01
2024-10-27 1.823392 2.519787 3.529293 5.160631 7.857759 12.398404 2.127312e+01
2024-11-03 1.650508 2.397838 3.556924 5.589687 9.313363 16.437056 3.295211e+01
2024-11-10 1.474225 2.226419 3.456760 5.762296 10.364823 20.214010 4.699355e+01
2024-11-17 1.355068 2.119175 3.431073 6.046474 11.718804 25.304202 6.910988e+01
2024-11-24 1.213059 1.947833 3.256971 5.996122 12.345384 29.048326 9.168543e+01
2024-12-01 1.113290 1.833307 3.162817 6.079888 13.309888 34.285578 1.272594e+02
2024-12-08 1.024038 1.724023 3.058004 6.112573 14.164792 39.810776 1.745163e+02
2024-12-15 0.971648 1.675175 3.062617 6.392872 15.805385 49.251275 2.668039e+02
2024-12-22 0.889414 1.558286 2.908574 6.257196 16.200324 54.483301 3.491206e+02
2024-12-29 0.829956 1.478842 2.821449 6.269113 17.070913 62.578619 4.912493e+02
2025-01-05 0.752384 1.364132 2.662675 6.121728 17.602243 71.060996 7.135079e+02
2025-01-12 0.707168 1.312260 2.641632 6.364991 19.763757 92.026743 1.389011e+03
2025-01-19 0.646061 1.217924 2.504242 6.235027 20.458404 106.076530 2.269577e+03
2025-01-26 0.628466 1.214447 2.582598 6.780189 24.388483 152.831431 6.792274e+03
2025-02-02 0.595925 1.173117 2.559267 7.000262 27.099880 199.632052 1.956374e+04
2025-02-09 0.572448 1.149017 2.575523 7.363489 30.933536 276.063005 9.633915e+04
2025-02-16 0.534609 1.086641 2.479177 7.299050 32.417338 332.310393 4.379392e+05
2025-02-23 0.506826 1.044849 2.432175 7.406270 35.119190 427.670987 9.981620e+06
2025-03-02 0.479534 1.001058 2.372408 7.448133 37.527595 541.358439 NaN
2025-03-09 0.464152 0.984735 2.388807 7.807724 42.712581 788.337156 NaN
2025-03-16 0.435062 0.930842 2.285958 7.633537 43.676691 930.574894 NaN